Garry Bartecki Tune up time
It is time once again to figure out how you did compared to last year, against budget, against cash flow budgets, and against your peers. We review the overall results and then dive into each department. Finally, you review personnel in each department in terms of “sales per employee,” gross profit per employee, and then sales and gross profits per employee for each department. Good for you if you find yourself in the top 25 % of the peer group. If you did not, there is a ton of $ available waiting for you and your team to harvest them. And really, there is no excuse not to make strides every year to close the gap between the Top 25 and your results.
Get the SEC documents from the public companies in your SIC code to make this study even more interesting. They make it interesting reading when they explain market fluctuations, supply chain issues, changes in customer demands and expectations, and the sales per employee stats that most of them provide.
Your internal review and a public company financial report would be great topics for your 2025 strategic planning meeting.
Many companies also have their “ANNUAL” meeting around this time to discuss the current year against the planned expectations and to approve the plan for the following year. The Board typically approves cap-X costs and related financing decisions at this meeting.
A critical topic for the remainder of this year and next year will be inflation and how the fed rate reduction affected inflation going forward. The essential points are as follows:
- REDUCING INFLATION DOES NOT MEAN PRICES DECLINE. IT MEANS THE ANNUAL INCREASE WAS REDUCED. AND THERE STILL IS INFLATION BECAUSE THE GOAL WAS TO REDUCE IT TO 2% PER YEAR. SO, YOU STILL HAVE INFLATED COSTS, BUT THEY ARE NOT INCREASING AS THEY HAVE IN THE LAST FOUR YEARS.
- THE COST OF PRODUCTS COULD DECREASE BECAUSE OF DEMAND AND SUPPLY ISSUES. LET’S ASSUME YOU AND YOUR OEM ARE STUCK WITH UNITS THAT COST OUT AT THE HIGH END OF THE RANGE. IF YOU NEED TO TAKE A HIT ON THESE UNITS TO MOVE THEM, THEN THERE WILL BE A PRICE REDUCTION UNTIL THE MARKET IS IN BALANCE ONCE AGAIN. BUT THIS DOES NOT MEAN THE PRICES WILL FALL BY ANY SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT AND STAY THAT WAY.
- PRICE REDUCTIONS, TO ANY GREAT EXTENT, WILL CAUSE DEFLATION, WHERE PRICES WILL, IN FACT, DECREASE UNTIL THE DEMAND EQUATION IS IN BALANCE AGAIN. DEFLATION IS USUALLY CAUSED BY RECESSIONS OR DEPRESSIONS, WHICH PRODUCES A WHOLE OTHER SET OF ISSUES TO DEAL WITH.
- IN THIS DAY AND AGE, AN OEM OR DEALER CAN PRODUCE DEFLATION AND, AS A RESULT, BE MORE COMPETITIVE IN THEIR MARKETS. YOU CAN ACHIEVE THIS GOAL BY DEVELOPING A PROGRAM COMPRISED OF INNOVATION-PRODUCTIVITY IMPROVEMENT- AND AUTOMATION. BY REDUCING COSTS AND SPEEDING UP PROCESSING A COMPANY CAN OFFER MORE EFFECTIVE PRICES AND CREATE THEIR OWN DEFLATION, WHICH FLOATS DOWN TO CUSTOMERS.
One last point on inflation: It contains two indices: one for products and services and one for payroll. The payroll results may not decrease as much because of a shortage of help in most industries. Keep this in mind when planning for 2025. The experts are expecting payroll increases in the 3.5-4.0% range. Another reason to do more with less is to keep costs in check.
Your financial arrangements also need review. Bank terms and rates to see if you can renegotiate your loans to reduce interest costs or to spread out payments in some way to reduce cash outflow. I would not hesitate to shop my loan package to reduce my rate and/or to push out the payment schedule.
And what about customer financing? Customers would also like to reduce their rates and spread out the payments. Can you or your OEM do anything to reduce their cash flow burden?
Insurance has also been costly. Shop your program with at least three carriers. Work with an experienced broker who can read and suggest upgrades or changes needed in the policy. Please pay special attention to cyber coverage because it will require internal upgrades on your part before it begins. I would ask my IT folks to review the Cyber policy to ascertain that you can provide the IT coverage required to support and protect your systems and information.
And how can any tune-up not discuss local, state, and Federal taxes? I suggest you take advantage of the current tax programs before year end because many of the current breaks are set to expire in 25. And it goes without saying that customers should consider doing the same if it fits into their current financial plan. Have your tax folks make your sales department knowledgeable about these opportunities. There is, of course, a possibility that the current tax breaks will be extended, but that will depend on who wins in November.
You have heard a lot about FREE CASH FLOW, which is next month’s topic.
I would like to know if any of you have had the opportunity to discuss AI, etc., with Connor Group. If so, please let me know how it went.
HAPPY PLANNING!
About the Columnist:
Garry Bartecki is a CPA MBA with GB Financial Services LLC and a Wholesaler columnist since August 1993. E-mail [email protected] to contact Garry.
